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QUICK START |
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Here's quick start guide that will help you get familiar with basic Bet Record Longest SSE&S functions and generally understand it's purpose and data that's presented to you.
Bet Record Longest Soccer Streaks Explorer & Statistics (Bet Record LSSE) is a software that provides you with (pre analyzed data) information about longest soccer streaks and statistics for upcoming soccer games in next few days, usually 2-4, period of time as described in Statistics file (.ST4 file containing information about available streaks and statistics) you've downloaded from bet-record.com web site.
NOTE: Statistics file you download contains analysis for upcoming games not analysis made on matches already played, as first time user you might get confused when you see games / fixtures listed and think that data you see is based on already ended matches.
When you open Statistics File (.ST4) in Bet Record LSSE you'll be presented with Special statistics (% in percentages) based on various bet types (Wins, Draws, Over / Unders, Goals...over 30 types available at this moment), and information about Longest soccer streaks also based on almost every bet type available.
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After you've opened downloaded Statistics file in main program window (Streaks & Series tab) you can see all available longest streaks related to games on schedule as described in title of Statistics file, you can explore streaks by leagues, game / fixture and do some other filtering...
Analisys and search for longest streaks (from which all this data is made of) is done on games played in last 5-6 season (some leagues on last 4 seasons, also possible more) + current season (and longest streaks based on last 30 overall and 15 Home / Away side games). Games analyzed are just games played in selected league, if team was relegated or promoted from that league, games played in this period of time are skipped. Friendly, Play Offs and Cup games are also ignored.
To get longest streak, we need to look at last series of games with the same outcome, and if this last series of games is longer or equal to any other series of games in a row with the same oucome occurred before then we've got longest streak.
I this case looking at game outcome is not just looking it as Home Win, Draw or Away Win, there are many types of outcomes, groups of outcomes, like Over 2,5 goals, Half Time Draw, Final Score 2:1, 0:0.., Both Teams Score...that are analyzed.
Here's example in more detail
As you can see in picture above we have scheduled game this weekend between Almeira and Barcelona
Analysis for upcoming match are made on 2 general result tables, Almeira overall games and Barcelona overall games + 2 additional tables Almeria "Home games only" table and Barcelona "Away side games only" table.
Games played in last 5 seasons + current are included in analysis, so Overall games are only games played in this period of time, also keep in mind that if either of teams was relegated in lower league games played in that period of time are not included in analysis, only games played in current league are analyzed. Easyest way to see that one of the teams was promoted / relegated in this last 5-6 years period is by looking at "Games" column in main streak list, more on this later...
Analysis on this 4 tables will be based on all kinds of bets (over 30), in this example "Second Half Under 0,5" streak is selected, and as you can notice this selected streak is related to Barcelona (only Away games, games Barcelona played away), you can see that under Streak related to (source table), marked with red color is displayed "Away Team (Only Away Games)". This indicates that Barcelona never had more than 2 games in a row "Under 0,5 goals in Second half" in this last 5 season period of time, so this situation is reported as longest streak.
In this case streak information in streak list looks like this.
As you can see Home Team is Almeria and Away Team is Barcelona, streak type is Second Half Under 0,5 and Streak Length is 2, it means 2 last games Barcelona played as Away Team (Source Table) ended Under 0,5 golas in Second Half. Games column is number of how many games were included in analysis, in this case last 107 Barcelona played Away that equals last 5 seasons + current Away games.
Each of 4 tables will be processed and searched for longest streak for every bet type, Over 1,5, Under 1,5, Team Scores and more... So it's done for every game on schedule. As you can see that's lot of analyzing and it would take a long long time to find this by yourself by just looking at raw result tables.
MEANING OF COLUMNS IN MAIN STREAK LIST
Home Team: Home team in scheduled game
Away Team: Away team in scheduled game
Streak Type: Type of outcome in last series of x games, bet type
Streak Length: How many last games ended with the same outcome, based on Streak Type
Games: How many last games played are included in analysis.
As you know not all leagues have same number of teams and because of that don't play same number of games in the season. Some league analysis are based 4, 5 or 6 last season games + current season, that's also one of the reasons why "Games" column shows all kinds of numbers. There's also Overall and Home/Away games only analysis, so for example number of games played only at home cannot be the same as overall games, and as already mentioned team promoting or relegation can decrease number of analyzed games since these games are not included in analysis.
Against streak bet: bet type that's against last series of game outcomes
League: league that selected game is associated with.
STREAK FILTERS
Use streak filters to find faster information you need.
Streak filter - allows you to select type of streak you're looking for without displaying other types. If you for example need longest Draw streaks you can select "Show only streaks of selected type", select Draw and hit "Refresh Streaks" button. Keep in mind that this will only show Draw streaks related to Selected League or Game, if you want to see streaks for all leagues make sure to select ALL Leagues.
Display order - let's you display streaks by one of available criteria, you can display longest streaks at the top, by selecting "Streak Length" from the list and with Descending checked, make sure to hit "Refresh Streaks" button, or you can select "Streak" to group streaks by type (use it when Show All streaks option is checked)...
Streak markings - you can mark selected streak from the list by pressing "space" key, and quickly show it later by using "Show all marked" or "Show marked / filtered" buttons.
Streaks limited to 30/15 - this will display longest streaks based on last 30 overall games and 15 Home / Away games only, not based on last 5-6 seasons. You'll get more longest streaks, this is useful for bets like Draw, Team Scores, Clean Sheet...
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Special Statistics |
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Besides Longest streaks bet statistics are also available.
As for longest streaks the same rule applies to statistics, only games played in current league included in analysis
1. Statistics based on Team / Bet Type - find out which are highest / lowest ranked teams based on almost every type of bet. Based on previous 30/15 or 60/30 games
2. Statistics based on Leagues / Bet Type - gives you information about league statistics, find out what leagues are better or worst for betting you prefer. Based on previous 200 games
3. Statistics & Form
4. Results & Filters - explore results from last 60 (30) games with all kinds of filters
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Breaking or backing streaks |
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The main question is, should we back the streak, place bet for streak to continue or bet against streak and hope that it will break like it did in the past.
There's no ultimate answer for this, but the first thing we need is to consider bet type on which streak is based on. There are 3 groups of streaks, 1. streaks mostly worth only breaking, 2. streaks to follow and 3. neutral streaks fore which we need to do more additional analysis before making decision how to use it.
Streaks to break
These streaks are mostly in length from 3-6 games in a row with the same outcome and appear frequently in streak form line but under condition that at least last 50 games are analyzed.
Here's the screenshot from Bet Record Longest Streaks Explorer 1.0, showing form based on bet type "Second Half Draw" prior to game between Lille vs. Lyon. As you can see longest streak is 4 games in length (last 4 red squares) and appeard already 5 times in the past, 6 times counting last one, and always break at 4th game. So if you believe statistics you would bet against Ssecond Half Draw, and won. Odds for "Second Half No Draw" bet were @ 1.7 before game started, maybe more in live betting. First half ended in a draw so it was possible to bet against Draw as the final result at the half time, the bet would be the same. Final score was 2:0

Screenshot from version 1.0
Another great example is game between Grasshoppers and Sion.
In streak form
we can see that Grassoppers managed to keep clean sheet maximum in 3 games in a row. Longest streak appeard 3 times total in last 163 Grassoppers games, this is good scenario to believe to statistics and
place bet "Away Team Scores". Odds were @ 1.5. Final score was 0:2
Even better type of streak to break is streak based on bet type "Final Score" and "Halftime / Fulltime", the reason is because results don't usually repeat often, or better to say repeats are very rear.
After analyzing results of thousands of predictions, it's not surprising that bets against CORRECT SCORE and HALFTIME / FULLTIME have very high winning percentage, ranging from 93% to 97%.
Now this is where you can "grab" something! How?
But there's something you need, betting exchange, to be more precise Bet Fair, the best place to bet! At Bet Fair it's not only you can bet on something, you can bet AGAINST (LAY) ANYTHING!
All standard types of bets you can place at regular bookies, but there are lots of bets (bet types) you can't find anywhere than betting exchange. Laying / betting against an outcome is what exchange betting is all about.
BETTING AGAINST, LAYING CORRECT SCORE OR HALFTIME/FULLTIME
Let's say that winning percentage is 95%, that's great, what more can you ask for? But what about the odds. You can Lay (bet against) correct score before game starts, but...the problem is low odds, or even worse, very low odds.
For example, you want to LAY 2:0 correct score, it depends on the game, who is playing and so on...but in our case LAY odds on correct score is 10.5, when you convert this to standard odds format thats equal to 1.10, pretty low, but not that low as it would be if you try to bet against 3:0 or 3:2.
You can stake 100€ to win 10€ or you can wait for game to start and take the advantage of live betting (game must be available for live betting). With lots of live games you'll have no problem with this at Bet Fair.
Odds are dramaticly changing when game goes live, you'll have to wait, and as the score changes the odds changes even more. So with odds against correct score before game starts @ 1.05, when in play, you can easily find odds @ 1.8 or more on that same bet. It all depends on situations on the field, time...It's on you to find the chance and grab it when the right moment comes.
When betting against Halftime/Fulltime the situation is similar. You can bet against HT/FT before game starts or go in play and place bet on final outcome after the first half ends, if game develops as expected.
I Streaks to follow
Are streaks with long serie of same outcomes, from 10 even to 30 games in a row. Information given from these type of streaks is mostly better to use to back streak rather to bet against it. These type of streaks are mostly related to bet types as, No win, Team Scores, Over 1,5, No Draw, No Clean sheet.
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